S'inscrire
The Cefa Brief

CommentairesÉclairagesPerspectivesDécryptages

Thème

Public Administration

10 articles

Articles

  • PerspectiveMacroeconomics & Markets

    The measurement has to exist before the policy, because no earlier period can be collected afterwards

    What a statistic can answer is decided by its base, its frequency, its territory and the date on its newest observation, and all four are fixed before any policy question arrives. The complication is that a record built this way reads as routine paperwork until something needs an answer it never arranged to have.

  • PerspectiveInfrastructure

    The boundary of a public investment appraisal is drawn where the measurement stops

    The capital cost in a public investment appraisal has a published national counterpart, nonresidential construction spending at 1309 billion dollars a year; the benefit stream it is weighed against has none. The discount rate decides the rest: at 4.29 percent a dollar arriving in year thirty is worth 28.4 cents, and at the 0.89 percent of 2020 it was worth 76.7 cents.

  • CommentaireIndustrial Policy

    Announced investment is not a statistic and industrial policy should stop being scored on it

    Construction spending on manufacturing plant rose from an annual rate of 82 billion dollars in 2021 to 215 billion in 2025, while the manufacturing output index moved from 97.6 to 97.3 on a 2017 base of 100. Lag complicates the comparison: a plant paid for in 2024 reaches an output index years later, which argues for waiting rather than scoring the policy on its announcements.

  • PerspectiveIndustrial Policy

    Public purchasing is an industrial instrument, and none of these series counts it as one

    A government's order book transfers demand risk in a way a grant cannot, which is the reason it would work as industrial policy. What complicates the case is that the spending which is counted rose steeply, plant construction going from 75 billion dollars in 2020 to 244 in 2024, and manufacturing output is still below its 2017 base.

  • PerspectiveGovernance & Institutions

    A state can only set a target on something its own accounts already count

    A target can be written only on a quantity somebody already publishes, so the statistical system settles in advance which problems a government is able to own. The complication is that absence is not neutral: where no series covers a subject, the nearest published count is promoted into the gap, and the policy ends up governing whatever that count measures.

  • PerspectiveMacroeconomics & Markets

    Institutional memory in economic policy is held in definitions, not in people

    What an institution loses first is not an event but a definition: the unit a figure is stated in, the base year of an index, the rate regime a career was formed inside. Memory is not free either, because an assumption carried too long is its own failure, and only a written record separates the two.

  • PerspectiveIndustrial Policy

    Institutional quality is several separable capacities, and the score that ranks them is mostly a choice of weights

    Operationally the term names separable things: a task specified, a cost stated, a time stated, and a published record of whether the work was done. A composite removes the units before it adds them, and on this site's own state index the weightings a person could defend move one jurisdiction across thirty places.

  • CommentaireWorkforce & Skills

    Administrative capacity should be counted in decisions per qualified head, not in the occupational group that carries its name

    Office and Administrative Support is the largest occupational group in the country, 17,753,410 jobs of a 51-state total of 155,495,750. The District of Columbia, where administration is the industry, ranks last of the 51 on it, at 76.871 such jobs per thousand against Tennessee's 129.94.

  • CommentaireEnvironmental Permitting

    Whether permitting is slow can only be answered by counting the applications still waiting

    Housing units authorised by permit fell from an annual rate of 1734 thousand units in 2021 to 1431 in 2025, a drop of 303. That series counts decisions leaving the permitting system and never the applications sitting inside it, and a count of departures is consistent with any waiting time at all.

  • CommentaireInfrastructure

    Local infrastructure is limited by the people who can run a project, not by the price of money

    The ten-year Treasury rose from 0.89 percent in 2020 to 4.29 in 2025 and nonresidential construction spending rose alongside it, from 856 billion dollars a year to 1,309. What complicates the argument is that the only capacity measure held here counts business and financial operations workers across every industry, not the staff of any city hall.