Jag DeSaint

120 материалов

• КомментарийIndustrial Policy

  A state incentive buys a location decision, not national capacity

  Plant construction spending rose from an annual rate of 75 billion dollars in 2020 to 244 billion in 2024; manufacturing output ended 2025 4.3 index points above 2020, and employment three hundred thousand below its 2023 peak. Plant takes years to run, so those readings are not yet a verdict.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 14 августа 2026 г.

• ВзглядTrade & Investment

  A foreign ministry cannot spend attention on fifty states, and should not try

  California holds 39,431,263 residents and Wyoming 587,618, and each sends the same two senators to Washington. A ministry with a finite diary has to decide which of those two facts it is optimising against, because the rankings they produce are not the same.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 12 августа 2026 г.

• ВзглядIndustrial Policy

  In fifty of fifty-one jurisdictions the largest occupational group pays below the median

  The biggest block of jobs in almost every American state is a below-median one, and in 47 of 51 it is the same group. Industrial work sits in the middle of that ladder, which is a better case for it than its advocates usually make and a smaller one than they claim.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 12 августа 2026 г.

• КомментарийWorkforce & Skills

  Administrative capacity should be counted in decisions per qualified head, not in the occupational group that carries its name

  Office and Administrative Support is the largest occupational group in the country, 17,753,410 jobs of a 51-state total of 155,495,750. The District of Columbia, where administration is the industry, ranks last of the 51 on it, at 76.871 such jobs per thousand against Tennessee's 129.94.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 5 августа 2026 г.

• ВзглядWorkforce & Skills

  The labour force fell in 39 of 51 jurisdictions in a single month

  Between June and July 2026 the civilian labour force fell in 39 states and the District of Columbia's column, and rose in twelve. The movements are tiny, they point the same way, and the file that records them cannot tell you whether that means anything.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 27 июля 2026 г.

• КомментарийIndustrial Policy

  A facility count is not a pollution count

  Our environment dataset holds one number per state, the count of facilities reporting to the EPA Toxics Release Inventory. It is a measure of industrial density, the file says so plainly, and I am not going to chart it.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 24 июля 2026 г.

• КомментарийWorkforce & Skills

  Jobs are counted where they are done, not where workers live

  In July 2026 the District of Columbia held 179.7 jobs for every 100 people in its own labour force, and Maryland held 87.9. The two numbers are measuring different things, and state rankings that put them side by side quietly mislead.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 22 июля 2026 г.

• КомментарийEnvironmental Permitting

  Whether permitting is slow can only be answered by counting the applications still waiting

  Housing units authorised by permit fell from an annual rate of 1734 thousand units in 2021 to 1431 in 2025, a drop of 303. That series counts decisions leaving the permitting system and never the applications sitting inside it, and a count of departures is consistent with any waiting time at all.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 20 июля 2026 г.

• ВзглядWorkforce & Skills

  The states that make the most things are not the states with the most engineers

  Of the eight states where production work is most concentrated, four hold less than the national share of architecture and engineering jobs and two more hold barely the national share. That gap, not the incentive package, is the binding constraint on where a complex facility can be built and run.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 14 июля 2026 г.

• КомментарийIndustrial Policy

  The industrial policy number nobody sets a target for

  Output per hour in the nonfarm business sector stands 18 percent above its 2017 base. No industrial programme claims that gain, none is measured against it, and it is the only number that decides whether domestic production survives domestic wages.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 23 июня 2026 г.

• ВзглядRegional Development

  Read a state government the way you would read a credit, not a brochure

  State tax collections per resident run from 2,279 dollars in Alaska to 8,028 in Vermont, and the spread describes which layer of government collects rather than how heavily anyone is taxed. The useful questions are what the base is, what it is exposed to, and what the state does not levy at all.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 18 июня 2026 г.

• КомментарийRegional Development

  Four states now fund themselves on a price they do not set

  Severance is 47.2 percent of North Dakota's state tax collections and 43.9 percent of Alaska's. That is not a revenue line. It is a position in a commodity, held by a government that has to write a budget every year.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 16 июня 2026 г.

• ВыводIndustrial Policy

  New orders for durable goods fell once in five years, then jumped

  Orders dipped by 4.9 billion dollars a month in 2024 and rose by 23.4 billion in 2025, the largest single-year gain in the window. The series counts dollars, not machines.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 11 июня 2026 г.

• КомментарийIndustrial Policy

  Semiconductor subsidy should be judged on demand met at home, not on fabs opened

  Construction spending on manufacturing plant fell from an annual rate of 244 billion dollars in 2024 to 215 billion in 2025, while U.S. semiconductor production rose from 144 to 165 on a 2017 base, its largest step in five observations. The two yardsticks now available disagree about the same year, and the one that should settle the question appears in none of this data.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 3 июня 2026 г.

• ВыводWorkforce & Skills

  Prime-age participation rose four years running, then held at 83.6 percent

  The share of the 25 to 54 population in the labour force went from 81.4 percent in 2020 to 83.6 in 2024, a gain of 2.2 points, and 2025 came in at 83.6 again. The headline rate, which covers the civilian population rather than one age band, gained 0.7 points over the same six readings and fell in the final year.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 28 мая 2026 г.

• КомментарийWorkforce & Skills

  The binding constraint on American port throughput sits inland, not at the berth

  The occupational file puts the three heaviest concentrations of transport and material-moving work in Kentucky, Tennessee and Indiana, none of which fronts an ocean, and puts California, Florida and New York below the national share. No series held here counts a container, a berth or a crane, so the inland reading is an inference from where the work is counted.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 18 мая 2026 г.

• ВыводWorkforce & Skills

  The quits rate has fallen below where it stood in 2020, while job openings have not

  The rate rose from 2.1 percent of employment in 2020 to 2.8 in 2022, then fell in each of the next three years to 2 percent, below where it began. Job openings peaked in the same year and remain above their own 2020 level, so the two halves of the picture no longer agree.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 7 мая 2026 г.

• КомментарийWorkforce & Skills

  Defence capacity is a tooling and workforce problem procurement reform does not reach

  Construction spending on manufacturing plant ran at an annual rate of 125 billion dollars in 2022 and 244 billion in 2024, while core capital-goods orders held at a monthly average of 77 billion in 2022 and 77 again in 2025. This site holds no defence series at all, so the argument runs through the civilian base defence buys from.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 6 мая 2026 г.

• ВыводEnergy & Power

  Crude has fallen back below its 2021 price and the all-commodities index has not

  West Texas Intermediate averaged 95 dollars a barrel in 2022 and 65 in 2025, three dollars below its 2021 reading and thirty below the peak. The producer price index for all commodities peaked in the same year, sits 1.6 per cent below that peak, and rose 2.2 per cent in the year crude fell 15.6 per cent.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 4 мая 2026 г.

• ВыводWorkforce & Skills

  Broad underemployment has risen in each of the last two years, to its highest reading since 2021

  The U-6 rate fell from 13.7 percent of the labour force in 2020 to 6.9 in 2022, held at 6.9 in 2023, and has since risen to 7.5 and then 8. The 1.1 points it has added from that floor exceed the 0.7 the headline unemployment rate has added from its own, but as a multiple of the headline rate the broad measure has narrowed since 2023.

  Авторы: Jag DeSaint 24 апреля 2026 г.