Capability 01
Where in America a project should land.
For a company or a government choosing where in the United States to build: we write the requirement down, read the state index pillar by pillar against it, test each surviving site against the power, transport, suppliers and workforce around it, and hand back a shortlist and the office that must act.
Reading the index
A rank is a summary. A location decision is not.
The State Development Index scores the fifty states and the District of Columbia on up to eight pillars — starting up, population health, productive base, labor market, prosperity, housing permits and prices, fiscal standing and openness — averaged equally. That weighting is declared, not tuned, and it was then measured against itself: weightings were drawn at random in their tens of thousands and every state re-ranked. Restricted to ones a person could defend, with every pillar between 6.25% and 25% of the total, the average state’s rank moves 16 places across the middle 90% of those weightings. Allow any weighting at all and that figure is 28.9 places; 23 of the fifty-one can then reach first place.
There is a sharper reason not to read the composite as an answer, and the index publishes that one too. Across those fifty-one jurisdictions the composite has almost no relationship with where Americans move: its correlation with net domestic migration is +0.04, on a scale where 0 is none and 1 is perfect. One indicator inside it, housing units authorized per 1,000 workers, reaches +0.74. Idaho is the most-moved-to state in the country and the index ranks it 40th; Colorado ranks first here and 25th on movers.
The work is establishing which pillars a project depends on, reading those and the indicators under them, and naming the point where measurement stops helping. A project that turns on how readily a state permits building is asking one question; a project that needs a particular occupational base is asking another. The jurisdiction that answers one is often not the one that answers the other.
The ground the argument stands on
Fifty-one jurisdictions, scored.
Every state and the District of Columbia, shaded by composite score. The composite is where a location question starts, and the page below is about why it is not where the question ends.
Highest
- 1Colorado71
- 2Utah68
- 3Washington67
- 4Florida66
- 5Texas65
Lowest
- 51New Mexico33
- 50West Virginia36
- 49Arkansas40
- 48Louisiana41
- =46Alabama44
- =46Rhode Island44
Tennessee, Washington, D.C., Alabama are scored on 7 pillars rather than 8. A pillar missing an indicator goes unscored rather than averaged, so they are marked rather than shaded.
The composite hides this.
Every jurisdiction, ranked by composite down the left, then its standing on each pillar separately. A row that shades evenly is a place that is consistent. A row that runs dark to light is a place whose usefulness depends entirely on which pillar a project needs — and the composite gives both the same answer. Washington, D.C. ranks 15 overall and 1–51 across the eight; Hawaii ranks 19 overall and 1–51 across the eight; Vermont ranks 8 overall and 1–50 across the eight.
| Rank | Jurisdiction | Score | Starting up | Health | Base | Labor | Prosperity | Housing | Fiscal | Openness | Span |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado | 71 | Starting up, 2 | Population health, 12 | Productive base, 27 | Labour market, 10 | Prosperity, 4 | Housing permits and prices, 33 | Fiscal standing, 18 | Openness, 18 | 2–33 |
| 2 | Utah | 68 | Starting up, 12 | Population health, 15 | Productive base, 18 | Labour market, 21 | Prosperity, 20 | Housing permits and prices, 27 | Fiscal standing, 1 | Openness, 4 | 1–27 |
| 3 | Washington | 67 | Starting up, 43 | Population health, 11 | Productive base, 7 | Labour market, 22 | Prosperity, 7 | Housing permits and prices, 36 | Fiscal standing, 2 | Openness, 2 | 2–43 |
| 4 | Florida | 66 | Starting up, 1 | Population health, 14 | Productive base, 42 | Labour market, 35 | Prosperity, 19 | Housing permits and prices, 24 | Fiscal standing, 3 | Openness, 7 | 1–42 |
| 5 | Texas | 65 | Starting up, 6 | Population health, 30 | Productive base, 21 | Labour market, 38 | Prosperity, 29 | Housing permits and prices, 1 | Fiscal standing, 4 | Openness, 8 | 1–38 |
| 6 | North Carolina | 63 | Starting up, 16 | Population health, 31 | Productive base, 16 | Labour market, 23 | Prosperity, 28 | Housing permits and prices, 8 | Fiscal standing, 5 | Openness, 10 | 5–31 |
| 7 | New Hampshire | 62 | Starting up, 14 | Population health, 9 | Productive base, 13 | Labour market, 1 | Prosperity, 9 | Housing permits and prices, 39 | Fiscal standing, 19 | Openness, 39 | 1–39 |
| =8 | Maryland | 61 | Starting up, 36 | Population health, 13 | Productive base, 37 | Labour market, 7 | Prosperity, 6 | Housing permits and prices, 41 | Fiscal standing, 6 | Openness, 12 | 6–41 |
| =8 | Vermont | 61 | Starting up, 50 | Population health, 7 | Productive base, 38 | Labour market, 2 | Prosperity, 12 | Housing permits and prices, 46 | Fiscal standing, 20 | Openness, 1 | 1–50 |
| =8 | Virginia | 61 | Starting up, 32 | Population health, 16 | Productive base, 30 | Labour market, 43 | Prosperity, 10 | Housing permits and prices, 34 | Fiscal standing, 7 | Openness, 3 | 3–43 |
| 11 | Missouri | 60 | Starting up, 5 | Population health, 38 | Productive base, 28 | Labour market, 5 | Prosperity, 35 | Housing permits and prices, 31 | Fiscal standing, 8 | Openness, 19 | 5–38 |
| =12 | Connecticut | 59 | Starting up, 44 | Population health, 8 | Productive base, 1 | Labour market, 36 | Prosperity, 3 | Housing permits and prices, 43 | Fiscal standing, 46 | Openness, 13 | 1–46 |
| =12 | Nebraska | 59 | Starting up, 31 | Population health, 26 | Productive base, 3 | Labour market, 14 | Prosperity, 23 | Housing permits and prices, 3 | Fiscal standing, 21 | Openness, 29 | 3–31 |
| =12 | South Dakota | 59 | Starting up, 22 | Population health, 41 | Productive base, 11 | Labour market, 8 | Prosperity, 21 | Housing permits and prices, 4 | Fiscal standing, 9 | Openness, 34 | 4–41 |
| =15 | Iowa | 58 | Starting up, 34 | Population health, 25 | Productive base, 8 | Labour market, 28 | Prosperity, 39 | Housing permits and prices, 2 | Fiscal standing, 10 | Openness, 20 | 2–39 |
| =15 | Tennessee | 58 | Starting up, 17 | Population health, not scored | Productive base, 4 | Labour market, 19 | Prosperity, 36 | Housing permits and prices, 11 | Fiscal standing, 11 | Openness, 35 | 4–36 |
| =15 | Washington, D.C. | 58 | Starting up, 29 | Population health, 18 | Productive base, not scored | Labour market, 34 | Prosperity, 1 | Housing permits and prices, 51 | Fiscal standing, 12 | Openness, 14 | 1–51 |
| 18 | New Jersey | 57 | Starting up, 28 | Population health, 3 | Productive base, 26 | Labour market, 49 | Prosperity, 5 | Housing permits and prices, 45 | Fiscal standing, 50 | Openness, 5 | 3–50 |
| =19 | Delaware | 56 | Starting up, 24 | Population health, 21 | Productive base, 17 | Labour market, 50 | Prosperity, 30 | Housing permits and prices, 25 | Fiscal standing, 13 | Openness, 22 | 13–50 |
| =19 | Hawaii | 56 | Starting up, 51 | Population health, 1 | Productive base, 40 | Labour market, 15 | Prosperity, 15 | Housing permits and prices, 44 | Fiscal standing, 36 | Openness, 6 | 1–51 |
| =19 | Massachusetts | 56 | Starting up, 48 | Population health, 2 | Productive base, 14 | Labour market, 46 | Prosperity, 2 | Housing permits and prices, 50 | Fiscal standing, 22 | Openness, 17 | 2–50 |
| =19 | New York | 56 | Starting up, 37 | Population health, 4 | Productive base, 22 | Labour market, 47 | Prosperity, 8 | Housing permits and prices, 48 | Fiscal standing, 23 | Openness, 15 | 4–48 |
| =19 | Wisconsin | 56 | Starting up, 33 | Population health, 32 | Productive base, 12 | Labour market, 13 | Prosperity, 32 | Housing permits and prices, 23 | Fiscal standing, 24 | Openness, 26 | 12–33 |
| =19 | Wyoming | 56 | Starting up, 10 | Population health, 34 | Productive base, 34 | Labour market, 9 | Prosperity, 22 | Housing permits and prices, 19 | Fiscal standing, 25 | Openness, 36 | 9–36 |
| =25 | California | 55 | Starting up, 42 | Population health, 5 | Productive base, 10 | Labour market, 48 | Prosperity, 11 | Housing permits and prices, 47 | Fiscal standing, 37 | Openness, 16 | 5–48 |
| =25 | Michigan | 55 | Starting up, 19 | Population health, 22 | Productive base, 15 | Labour market, 31 | Prosperity, 38 | Housing permits and prices, 37 | Fiscal standing, 26 | Openness, 21 | 15–38 |
| =25 | Minnesota | 55 | Starting up, 45 | Population health, 10 | Productive base, 5 | Labour market, 41 | Prosperity, 13 | Housing permits and prices, 15 | Fiscal standing, 14 | Openness, 40 | 5–45 |
| 28 | Arizona | 54 | Starting up, 8 | Population health, 29 | Productive base, 39 | Labour market, 39 | Prosperity, 33 | Housing permits and prices, 26 | Fiscal standing, 27 | Openness, 25 | 8–39 |
| =29 | Georgia | 53 | Starting up, 3 | Population health, 36 | Productive base, 24 | Labour market, 32 | Prosperity, 34 | Housing permits and prices, 14 | Fiscal standing, 15 | Openness, 41 | 3–41 |
| =29 | Illinois | 53 | Starting up, 39 | Population health, 19 | Productive base, 2 | Labour market, 29 | Prosperity, 14 | Housing permits and prices, 38 | Fiscal standing, 51 | Openness, 23 | 2–51 |
| =29 | South Carolina | 53 | Starting up, 9 | Population health, 37 | Productive base, 31 | Labour market, 16 | Prosperity, 42 | Housing permits and prices, 9 | Fiscal standing, 16 | Openness, 37 | 9–42 |
| =32 | Indiana | 51 | Starting up, 27 | Population health, 44 | Productive base, 9 | Labour market, 30 | Prosperity, 43 | Housing permits and prices, 10 | Fiscal standing, 17 | Openness, 28 | 9–44 |
| =32 | Kansas | 51 | Starting up, 30 | Population health, 39 | Productive base, 19 | Labour market, 20 | Prosperity, 31 | Housing permits and prices, 5 | Fiscal standing, 38 | Openness, 38 | 5–39 |
| =32 | Montana | 51 | Starting up, 13 | Population health, 28 | Productive base, 49 | Labour market, 4 | Prosperity, 25 | Housing permits and prices, 28 | Fiscal standing, 28 | Openness, 42 | 4–49 |
| =32 | Ohio | 51 | Starting up, 20 | Population health, 35 | Productive base, 6 | Labour market, 11 | Prosperity, 40 | Housing permits and prices, 20 | Fiscal standing, 29 | Openness, 43 | 6–43 |
| =32 | Pennsylvania | 51 | Starting up, 40 | Population health, 20 | Productive base, 25 | Labour market, 42 | Prosperity, 18 | Housing permits and prices, 42 | Fiscal standing, 47 | Openness, 9 | 9–47 |
| 37 | North Dakota | 50 | Starting up, 49 | Population health, 27 | Productive base, 20 | Labour market, 24 | Prosperity, 27 | Housing permits and prices, 21 | Fiscal standing, 30 | Openness, 30 | 20–49 |
| 38 | Oklahoma | 49 | Starting up, 11 | Population health, 42 | Productive base, 46 | Labour market, 27 | Prosperity, 44 | Housing permits and prices, 6 | Fiscal standing, 39 | Openness, 27 | 6–46 |
| 39 | Oregon | 48 | Starting up, 38 | Population health, 23 | Productive base, 33 | Labour market, 51 | Prosperity, 17 | Housing permits and prices, 40 | Fiscal standing, 31 | Openness, 11 | 11–51 |
| =40 | Idaho | 47 | Starting up, 25 | Population health, 24 | Productive base, 45 | Labour market, 12 | Prosperity, 41 | Housing permits and prices, 22 | Fiscal standing, 32 | Openness, 44 | 12–45 |
| =40 | Maine | 47 | Starting up, 46 | Population health, 17 | Productive base, 43 | Labour market, 6 | Prosperity, 24 | Housing permits and prices, 32 | Fiscal standing, 40 | Openness, 45 | 6–46 |
| =40 | Mississippi | 47 | Starting up, 7 | Population health, 50 | Productive base, 35 | Labour market, 3 | Prosperity, 50 | Housing permits and prices, 12 | Fiscal standing, 41 | Openness, 31 | 3–50 |
| 43 | Kentucky | 46 | Starting up, 26 | Population health, 45 | Productive base, 23 | Labour market, 33 | Prosperity, 48 | Housing permits and prices, 30 | Fiscal standing, 48 | Openness, 24 | 23–48 |
| =44 | Alaska | 45 | Starting up, 4 | Population health, 40 | Productive base, 29 | Labour market, 44 | Prosperity, 26 | Housing permits and prices, 35 | Fiscal standing, 49 | Openness, 46 | 4–49 |
| =44 | Nevada | 45 | Starting up, 21 | Population health, 33 | Productive base, 41 | Labour market, 25 | Prosperity, 37 | Housing permits and prices, 29 | Fiscal standing, 33 | Openness, 47 | 21–47 |
| =46 | Alabama | 44 | Starting up, 18 | Population health, 48 | Productive base, not scored | Labour market, 26 | Prosperity, 47 | Housing permits and prices, 16 | Fiscal standing, 34 | Openness, 32 | 16–48 |
| =46 | Rhode Island | 44 | Starting up, 47 | Population health, 6 | Productive base, 44 | Labour market, 17 | Prosperity, 16 | Housing permits and prices, 49 | Fiscal standing, 42 | Openness, 48 | 6–49 |
| 48 | Louisiana | 41 | Starting up, 15 | Population health, 49 | Productive base, 36 | Labour market, 18 | Prosperity, 46 | Housing permits and prices, 17 | Fiscal standing, 43 | Openness, 49 | 15–49 |
| 49 | Arkansas | 40 | Starting up, 23 | Population health, 47 | Productive base, 32 | Labour market, 40 | Prosperity, 49 | Housing permits and prices, 7 | Fiscal standing, 35 | Openness, 50 | 7–50 |
| 50 | West Virginia | 36 | Starting up, 41 | Population health, 46 | Productive base, 47 | Labour market, 37 | Prosperity, 51 | Housing permits and prices, 18 | Fiscal standing, 44 | Openness, 33 | 18–51 |
| 51 | New Mexico | 33 | Starting up, 35 | Population health, 43 | Productive base, 48 | Labour market, 45 | Prosperity, 45 | Housing permits and prices, 13 | Fiscal standing, 45 | Openness, 51 | 13–51 |
An unshaded cell is a pillar this jurisdiction is not scored on, because an indicator beneath it is missing and the index refuses to average over the gap. 3 jurisdictions carry one: Tennessee (Adult obesity, 2024); Washington, D.C. (Manufacturing share of jobs); Alabama (Manufacturing share of jobs).
Why the rank is not the answer
A rank that moves when the weights do.
Every jurisdiction, in published rank order. A short band is a rank that holds; a long one is a rank the weighting chose. A written requirement does not move with it.
| Jurisdiction | Published rank | Range |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado | 1 | 1–3 |
| Utah | 2 | 2–4 |
| Washington | 3 | 1–9 |
| Florida | 4 | 2–10 |
| Texas | 5 | 2–13 |
| North Carolina | 6 | 5–16 |
| New Hampshire | 7 | 3–23 |
| Maryland | 8 | 5–19 |
| Vermont | 8 | 4–28 |
| Virginia | 8 | 6–18 |
| Missouri | 11 | 5–24 |
| Connecticut | 12 | 6–28 |
| Nebraska | 12 | 7–23 |
| South Dakota | 12 | 7–26 |
| Iowa | 15 | 8–26 |
| Tennessee | 15 | 8–28 |
| Washington, D.C. | 15 | 6–33 |
| New Jersey | 18 | 9–36 |
| Delaware | 19 | 13–33 |
| Hawaii | 19 | 11–39 |
| Massachusetts | 19 | 9–39 |
| New York | 19 | 12–36 |
| Wisconsin | 19 | 14–28 |
| Wyoming | 19 | 12–30 |
| California | 25 | 15–39 |
| Michigan | 25 | 17–32 |
| Minnesota | 25 | 12–37 |
| Arizona | 28 | 15–34 |
| Georgia | 29 | 15–38 |
| Illinois | 29 | 19–39 |
| South Carolina | 29 | 16–36 |
| Indiana | 32 | 23–41 |
| Kansas | 32 | 24–39 |
| Montana | 32 | 20–42 |
| Ohio | 32 | 20–40 |
| Pennsylvania | 32 | 26–44 |
| North Dakota | 37 | 29–43 |
| Oklahoma | 38 | 25–43 |
| Oregon | 39 | 30–48 |
| Idaho | 40 | 32–44 |
| Maine | 40 | 34–48 |
| Mississippi | 40 | 26–46 |
| Kentucky | 43 | 35–47 |
| Alaska | 44 | 34–48 |
| Nevada | 44 | 41–46 |
| Alabama | 46 | 37–47 |
| Rhode Island | 46 | 34–50 |
| Louisiana | 48 | 44–49 |
| Arkansas | 49 | 45–49 |
| West Virginia | 50 | 49–50 |
| New Mexico | 51 | 51–51 |
How the question narrows
From a written requirement to a named office.
Seven moves. Each eliminates, and each can send the question back a step.
State the requirement
What can the project not do without? Most location arguments fail here, before any jurisdiction is named.
Read the pillars, not the rank
Every pillar score and every indicator beneath it, published per jurisdiction, each source named. A pillar missing an indicator goes unscored, not averaged.
Shortlist, then compare in pairs
Three or four jurisdictions, head to head. Any two of the fifty-one open side by side on the pillars where they differ most.
Test the corridor
A site inherits the power, transport, suppliers and workforce around it, and none of those stop at a state line.
Place the sector
The site’s sector research covers four groups: critical minerals and materials; manufacturing, energy and infrastructure; technology, aerospace and defense; health, agriculture and workforce. A project outside all four is told that this research does not cover its sector.
Read the workforce as a mix
Occupational concentration, not headcount, which mostly restates population. The production-occupations quotient and the index’s manufacturing share are largely one fact counted twice.
Reach the office that must act
For the 56 jurisdictions that reported one, the directory holds the office and its named contacts, what it says it is recruiting, and any shovel-ready inventory.
What this one rests on
The research, counted.
Four figures specific to this capability: one derived from the index’s scope, one from its weighting audit, and two from the SelectUSA FDI database.
Common questions
A single rank carries its weighting inside it.
No — the index argues against it. A single integer rank carries the weighting inside it, which is why the pillar scores are published separately and read directly.
It depends on the requirement, which is why that comes first. “Housing permits and prices” is two indicators — residential units authorized and a state house-price index — so no factory, warehouse or data center is in it.
Not on its own. Nothing in the eight pillars measures generation, interconnection or transmission, so the power question is answered in the corridor read and not from a score.
Cost of living. The wages are nominal, and the one price series here — the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s house-price index — measures each state against its own 1980 base, not a level comparable between states. No rent or regional-price-parity series is held, so the adjustment cannot be made here.
Across thirty-three federal series tested, the only state-level regulatory variable is the minimum wage, and it exists for forty-five states. The tax indicator counts state collections only — county, municipal and school-district taxes are not in it.
It is a proxy for one. CEFA probed three machine endpoints per state in a single month: whether an open-data portal answers an API, the incentive, permit and finance datasets behind it, and government newsroom feeds.
Federal series from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Census Bureau, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Federal Housing Finance Agency, plus Moody’s general-obligation rating of each state (its grade of the state’s own debt) and CEFA’s own measurement of which states publish machine-readable data. No other ranking is re-derived.
The index scores 51 jurisdictions — the fifty states and DC. The directory covers 56, because 5 territories also reported an inward-investment office. So a territory can be reached through the directory and not scored on the index.
All of it, and deliberately so. The sectors, target countries, incentive descriptions and site inventories are the development offices’ own submitted text, reproduced from a federal database whose snapshot is February 2025. Officials and programs move.
We do not negotiate incentive packages and we do not transact in sites — we read what a jurisdiction publishes about them. National-security review, in-country representation and trade missions are three more this platform does not claim.
Start with the requirement, not the map.
Tell us what the project cannot do without and where you are currently looking. We will say which pillars and which corridor work bear on it, which jurisdictions survive the requirement, and where the measurement stops helping.