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The Cefa Brief

KommentareBefundePerspektivenErklärstücke

Thema

Supply Chain Resilience

5 Beiträge

Beiträge

  • BefundTrade & Investment

    Imports fell once in five years and that fall is the least reliable number in the series

    Imports of goods and services dropped from 3.97 to 3.86 trillion dollars in 2023, the only decline in the run. Producer prices fell that same year, which means the one movement most often read as evidence of reshoring is the one that can least bear the reading.

  • PerspektiveEconomic Security

    A supply chain is governed on private books, and the public statistics reach only its edges

    American business held an average of 2,663 billion dollars of inventory across 2025, 35.1 percent above 2020, and that buffer is the working instrument of resilience. The series records its size and nothing else: not who holds it, not against which supplier, not where the next tier sits.

  • KommentarIndustrial Policy

    Semiconductor subsidy should be judged on demand met at home, not on fabs opened

    Construction spending on manufacturing plant fell from an annual rate of 244 billion dollars in 2024 to 215 billion in 2025, while U.S. semiconductor production rose from 144 to 165 on a 2017 base, its largest step in five observations. The two yardsticks now available disagree about the same year, and the one that should settle the question appears in none of this data.

  • KommentarWorkforce & Skills

    The binding constraint on American port throughput sits inland, not at the berth

    The occupational file puts the three heaviest concentrations of transport and material-moving work in Kentucky, Tennessee and Indiana, none of which fronts an ocean, and puts California, Florida and New York below the national share. No series held here counts a container, a berth or a crane, so the inland reading is an inference from where the work is counted.

  • BefundTrade & Investment

    Goods imports from China fell 11 billion dollars a month in 2025, taking the series below its 2020 level

    The monthly average rose from 36 billion dollars in 2020 to 45 in 2022, then fell to 26 in 2025, the lowest of the six readings. Exports in the other direction also ended at their lowest reading, so the narrower bilateral difference comes from buying less rather than selling more.